Friday, March 15, 2019

Forex Strategy That Works In The 4 Hour Time Frame

Slowly but surely my capital every week increases. 

But that’s only possible through dedication and discipline in following my forex trading strategy that works in the 4 hour time frame.
 It’s better like that because I avoid over trading.

  Overtrading is one of the reasons why most of the traders fail.


My defense is my best offense in the market.

Trading only on a minimum of once a week not only keeps me away from overtrading, it also gives me control over my emotion towards the market.

Don’t be afraid of missing out opportunities because the market is not going anywhere.

Stick to your strategy and patiently wait for your trading set ups to arise before you take an entry

Just like what I’m doing, I patiently wait and wait and wait for my set ups to occur before I decide to join in.

Enough said, let’s go on now to my 1:3 risk-to-reward winning trade in NZDCHF.


Using the same forex trading strategy in the 4 hour time frame consistently



I just want to say that I am literally using the same strategy over and over again in the market. Same set up, same plan, same risk to reward ratio set up, everything the same. Only that it varies on the forex currency pair that I trade on.

 Plotting support or resistance key areas


This is the first thing that I always do with the charts in the 4 hour time frame. I plot key support and resistance and wait for the price to make a move on those areas. This support or resistance key areas may be a horizontal line or in this case in NZDCHF  a support trend line as shown below.

key support and resistance
click the image to zoom in

Japanese candle Stick Formations Setup



The second thing I do then is to look for or sometimes wait for Japanese candle stick set ups to form in this key support or resistance area that I plot.

Using my own strategy, I need to wait for a combination of engulfing candles and/or pin bars.

In short my set up candles are engulfing candles and pin bars, but note that I said also that this candle stick formations needs to be formed right at a KEY AREA.

I don’t just randomly trade engulfing candles and pin bars, it needs to be formed in a key area as well.

And if we look at the image below, there are three bullish engulfing candles formed right at the trend line support that I plotted.

bullish engulfing candles
click the image to zoom in


Planning for the risk-to-reward ratio


  • Entry Point - This combination of three engulfing candles that are formed right at the support is my final clue for an entry trade. Of course you can wait for a little bit of pullback but in my case here I put an entry immediately upon seeing this 3rd bullish engulfing formed.

  • Logical Stop Loss Point - My stop loss placement is right below those bullish engulfing candles and the support line. I needed to widen my stop loss so that I can give some space for the price to move in and out. Also, it is much safer down below that area because buyers are positioned there to reject the price.

  • Profit target placement- As you may see in the image below, there is a clear previous resistance that formed.Since this bullish trade set up looks so strong with the presence of the support trend line and 3 bullish engulfing candles, I will place my profit target right at the resistance zone.

The final trade set up would then look like this below.

final trade set up
click the image to zoom in

Forex psychological stage a.k.a the waiting stage



Entry point, stop loss and profit target all secured. I evaluated the trade set up and I perfectly followed my forex trading strategy 100%.

My plan and strategy is already fixed and constant. The only problem now is my own psychology and emotion towards my trade.

That is why I set my trade and walk away from it. Not only that I avoid stressing about it but also I kept myself from interfering from it.

I will have no regrets if this turns out to be a losing trade because I followed my plan, I followed my strategy, 
I followed my system. I also accepted the fact that my strategy is not a 100% win rate and so I will have losses.


 BUT GUESS WHAT HAPPENS WHEN PREPARATION MEETS OPPORTUNITY? 


when preparation meets opportunity
click the image to zoom in

Yes, my profit target was hit and I gained 3% profits.

After almost 3 trading days the price finally reached out for my profit target.

Every time I have a winning trade like this it makes me more confident and trusting more on my trading strategy.

I managed to make an actual video of this trade here in my YouTube Channel. If you like you can watch this live video right here : https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d6fMJ40uGxY

You can subscribe to my channel and browse my videos and you will see how my strategy evolved  from just a simple set up to up until to what it is now.


More power to you!

Thursday, March 7, 2019

2 Biggest Misconception About Forex Trading As A Career

 
 
People are drawn towards forex trading because of the idea of a promising career where you could acquire big amounts of money with minimal work involve.
 
 When I say minimal work involve I am talking about staying at home and sitting in front of your computer watching charts.
 
I know we all dream that kind of job where in we feel free, not pressured, no boss to report to, can spend more time with family and best of all a job that makes us financially free in our entire lives.
 
Becoming a professional forex trader is one of the few career paths we could choose to achieve this goal in life. But I’m telling you now that it’s not gonna be an easy path as what you have heard and watched in YouTube.
 
Here are two misconceptions about trading the currency market which I think attracted people and made them willing to gamble money in the market.

 ------------------------------------ 
 

1. The thought that forex trading is the answer to all financial problems we are facing.

 
If you search forex trading in YouTube you could see some traders posting big gains from trading forex instantly.
 
Gaining BIG MONEY ALMOST INSTANTLY sparks our interests about it and activates the optimistic side of our brain thinking if that guy could do it why can’t we?
 
But you know in forex trading you will need to have money to earn more money.
 

Trading the financial market is the biggest online casino in the world.

 
In short, trading is gambling. The thought that you have financial problems should be enough reason why you should not engage in trading. Because as what the famous saying says about gambling,
 “The House Always Wins”.
 
If you are facing financial problems and barely just have enough money to live day by day then you should not engage in trading. Don’t think that this will be the solution to your problem, because it’s not gonna happen. Instead, it will just ruin you more and will lead you to a more depressing life.
 
Don’t use your life savings in trading the market because you will not be able to handle the stress and emotion that goes with it.
 
I’m not discouraging you to trade forex but it’s just really is the reality. If you really want to try trading, then you need to allocate a certain amount of money that you are comfortable losing.
 
That’s right, it’s not a quick rich scheme. If somebody is posting such big gains in just a matter of days in the internet that looks too good to be true then it may be not true.
 
Don’t be blinded by the potential gains you could earn, you have to think about the risk as well.
 
Success in forex trading takes time as well. It takes years to be profitable in this field.
 
Just like all the other careers in the world, it takes time to become a pro.
 
So don’t think that this career shift would suddenly end your financial problems.
 
------------------------------------ 

2. The thought that its easy to become profitable in forex trading

 
Forex trading is simple, but it’s not easy.
 
It’s simple in a sense that all you have to do to earn money from it is to buy and sell the currency market. 
 
It’s easy because everyone can trade without any educational background. It’s easy because it feels just like playing a regular pc game when you are looking at the charts.
 
And because of these reasons we tend to underestimate it which makes us vulnerable in the market.
 

Forex trading is a psychological game

 
When you already started trading the market you probably think that it’s the market that you need to beat. 
 
But the truth is that it’s YOU, yourself that you need to conquer.
 
In this game you will need to handle your emotions well.
 
You will need to understand that this is a numbers game as well.
 
Every trade you take in the market has a random outcome. That means you will have a series of winning trades and losing trades.
 
When you are having a winning trade then that’s good, but when you are in the time of experiencing a series of losing trade then will you be able to handle the frustration and stress?
 
Would you still stick to your strategy? Would you still stick with your game plan?
 
It is reported that 90% to 95% of all traders in the entire world fails.
 
Only the remaining 5 % – 10% remaining are the ones who are profitable. Why is that?
 
Clearly it’s all because of the discipline factor of every trader. If only intelligence were the basis of trading then there would be plenty people making money from the market. But this is not the case.
 
Most failed because of greed and fear of the market. This then leads to anger and depression.
 
Taking a trade in these emotional states is very risky because most of the times we can’t think logically when we are more driven by these negative emotions.
 
These are the two thoughts that I think is the biggest misconceptions about the forex market.
 
I hope you learned something about this article and if you wish to learn about my profitable forex trading strategy in the 4 hour time frame you can just visit my YouTube Channel and watch my live trade videos.

Monday, March 4, 2019

My Forex Win Trade : CADJPY In The 4 Hour TIme Frame


It’s been a long time since I’ve posted my last winning trade. I’ve managed to record this fresh trade in the CADJPY forex pair this time and I want to share it with you.
 
With the help of my profitable forex trading strategy in the 4 hour time frame, I was able to find trade set up like this at least once a week.
 
It may sound boring to you to only have one trade set up a week but I’m here to tell that you don’t need to join every bit of the market’s movement to become profitable. Instead you chose your trade wisely and trade only when the state of the market greatly favors your bias.
 

One good metaphor of this is to trade like a sniper and not a machine gunner.


Don’t waste your bullets in every move of the market. Because the truth is that you only have limited bullets, reserved that shots for deserving targets or shall I say deserving trade set ups.
 
Enough said, let’s go on now to my successful trade.
 
I have been eyeing the CADJPY pair when I saw that the price broke out from a clear resistance. Based on experience I know that broken resistance will act as a support when retested.
 
When the retest happened, it created the candle stick formations that serve as my signal to go in for a trade.
 
As you can see in the image below, no doubt it’s an uptrend in the 4 hour time frame because of the higher highs and higher lows formation.
 
Notice here that the price hit the resistance thrice before it finally broke out as indicated with the black arrow. I waited for the retest and saw that the support was holding as shown with green circle.
 
resistance becomes support
click the image to zoom in


What I like about the retest in the support zone is that a BULLISH ENGULFING CANDLE was formed on it as encircled in the image below. That to me signifies that there are buyers in that area. 

bullish engulfing candle at support
click image to zoom in

I was still hesitant to take the trade because that for me is not enough for a trade entry. I need to follow my candle stick formation set up which is the combination of ENGULFINGS AND PIN BARS.
So I patiently waited and finally this BULLISH PIN BAR was formed yet again in that support area.
 
bullish pinbar at support
click the image to zoom in

The formation of this bullish pin bar should have been my trigger for a trade entry. Unfortunately, I was not around when it formed and it was already too late for me to join the trade when I saw it.

I don’t want to chase the price so I waited for the price to pullback. When I look at the daily chart, I noticed that there are two engulfing candles formed right at the resistance that I plotted in the 4 hour time frame.
 
double bullish engulfing in daily chart
click the image to zoom in


This to me adds up another confirmation that there is a big probability that the price would go up. I’m really eager now to take an entry, so what I did was I put a buy order at the 50% retracement of the last daily candle.
 
The price pulled back the next day and triggered my entry point. The trade set up then looks like this in the 4 hour time frame.
 
trade set up from retracement
click the image to zoom in

Using the Fibonacci Retracement Tool I measured the last daily candle and put my entry point in the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
 
I then set my stop loss below the bullish pin bar formation.
 
The most logical placement of my profit target would be the next known resistance in the daily time frame which is this zone as shown below.
 
profit target placement
click the image to zoom in

Since our trade was already set, what we need to do now is to stay away from our computer and do something else. Looking at the chart regularly will only make us interfere with our trade.
 

Approximately 24 hours had passed and our profit target was hit!


I was really tempted to close my trade early because I noticed that there is an incoming big news in Canada about their GDP.  Since we are trading the CADJPY forex pair the outcome of this news would affect our trade.
 
Luckily, the profit target was hit as shown in the image below. Just before the CAD news came out which is negative news for the CAD currency which then eventually made the price bearish.
 
profit target hit daily chart
click the image to zoom in

profit target hit in 4 hour time frame
click the image to zoom in

Noticed that the profit target was just barely hit by the price before it burst downwards.
 
I am really happy about the outcome of this trade even though I’ve only managed to bank 2% ROI. I could have made a 1:3 risk to reward ratio if I managed to put on an entry immediately after that bullish pin bar was formed. This would be a lesson learned for me to be on watch always when this 4 hour candles formed.
 
Anyways, I managed to make an actual video of this trade. You can watch it here in my YouTube Channel, just follow this link : https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KllJZhH9a5s
 
I hope you learned something from this long post.

 Ciao!

Friday, March 1, 2019

Technical Analysis For Beginners Part 6: How To Use Fibonacci Retracement Tool Effectively


fibonacci retracement level

As you have noticed about the price movement of the currency market, it does not move in a straight line.
 
Instead the market goes in a wave pattern. The wave pattern is composed of an impulse and a correction move which happens endlessly and over and over again.
 
Eventually this correction move in the market can be sometimes predicted by the use of a retracement tool which is called the Fibonacci Retracement Tool.
 
This Italian mathematician discovered this Fibonacci sequence which he calls the golden ratio and considered to be the natural order of all things.
 
To make the long story short, traders understood that the Fibonacci levels can be applied in the forex market.
 
By the use of the Fibonacci Retracement Tool traders can now somewhat predict the movement of the market when the price retraces back before continuing its trend.
 
This price retracement in the market can sometimes be referred to as the pullback of prices. We can think of the wave impulse as inhaling and the retracement as exhaling of the market.
 
Let’s cut the chase and get to the point now.


How to use Fibonacci retracement in forex effectively?


Based on my own experience, Fibonacci retracement levels works effectively when applied in a clear trending market. There are traders who based their trading system on trend following and by the use of this Fibonacci levels they are able to ride the trend effectively.
 
In the examples below I will share with you how to use the Fibonacci levels as a way to make an entry to join a trending market. I will be using the 4 hour time frame since I based my strategy here and we will be focusing on the golden ratio which is the 0.618 Fibonacci level.


As what I have said before, we can only use the Fibonacci retracement tool effectively when it is applied in a clear trending market.
 
clear uptrend forex market
click the image to zoom in

How to use Fibonacci retracement levels in an up trending market?


The chart above is the CADJPY forex pair in the 4 hour time frame. Looking at the chart we could see a series of higher highs and higher lows which indicates that the market is moving in an up trending fashion.
 
Since this is an up trending market we are only be looking for a buying set up.
 
We need to look for a pattern where in there is an impulse move followed by a retracement move as what I have indicated with the ABC labels.
 
The A ---> B movement is what we call the IMPULSE MOVE.
 
The B ---> C movement is what we call the RETRACEMENT MOVE.
 
uptrend fibonacci retracement
click the image to zoom in
 
Now if we put on the Fibonacci retracement tool and zoom in, it would then look like this.

 
Note that I am assuming here that you already know how to position the Fibonacci retracement tool in the chart.
 
But for those who don’t know, just look for the Fibonacci retracement tool in your platform which looks like this symbol encircled with green in the image above. You then need to click first the start of the impulse which is the point A and then drag the mouse cursor over to point B to make the fib retracement position the same with the image that I used.
 
The price retraced back to the 0.618 Fibonacci level before it continued to go up. It’s like the market inhaled ( impulse move ) and exhaled ( retracement move ) for a bit before it burst upward and continue the trend.
 
By using the Fibonacci retracement tool we were able to predict where the market would end up retracing.
 
Noticed also that in the 0.618 fib level a small bullish pin bar was formed which gives us a signal and a set up to go long.
 
Another example below for a down trending market.
 
clear downtrend forex market
click the image to zoom in

How to use Fibonacci retracement levels in a downtrending market?


Again, our first step would be to look for a market that has a clear trend for us to be able to use the Fibonacci retracement tool effectively.
 
This forex pair is the CADCHF in the 4 hour time frame. We could say that it is an obvious down trending market, that’s why we will be only looking for a selling opportunity here.
 
The only part that needs focus and attention here is the part where you will be looking for the ABC pattern. Eventually, if you put more time on studying charts all of this will become much easier to find.
 
Assuming that we found this ABC pattern already, and we then position our Fibonacci retracement tool from point A to point B. The set up will then look like this below.

 
downtrend fibonacci retracement
click the image to zoom in

Look how powerful the 0.618 Fibonacci level is. The price tried to go up in that area but it was clearly rejected and formed a big bearish pin bar which for me is a strong indication that the down trend is going to continue which it actually did.
 
We could have entered this bearish set up right away after the formation of this red pin bar and locked in big rewards as we ride the trend downwards.
 
There is no doubt that there is some truth about the phrase “the trend is your friend”. It’s just a matter of strategy and techniques on how we can benefit from it.
 
Finally I was able to put out all my thoughts about this technical analysis for beginners article series. I hope that somehow you guys learned something from it.
 
I know there are still a lot to be learned about forex trading but it’s okay because we are gonna be taking it slow but steady.
 
Forex trading is a marathon and not a sprint, so let’s make sure that we have enough gas for the finish line.
 
See you in my next post!

Wednesday, February 27, 2019

Technical Analysis For Beginners Part 5: How To Trade The Hidden Divergence in Forex

The divergence that forms in the forex market is one of the set ups that many traders look for from time to time. The same with the head and shoulder pattern, it doesn’t show up all the time but when it does, it gives traders a big upper hand over the market.

Divergence is a situation in the market where in the price chart shows a certain direction of the price but the technical indicator such as the Relative Strength Index or RSI shows the opposite direction.

Technical indicators are supposed to mimic the movement of price but in the case of a hidden divergence it shows a different outcome. Seeing this in the chart will make you think that there is something fishy about the market. This abnormality translates to forex trading as a reversal of the current price movement.

To make this all clear and less confusing, I will show you some examples of hidden divergence in the forex market that are hard to see if you don’t know where to look. Divergence in the market occurs on any time frame but in the examples I will be using the 4 hour time frame.

Also, the technical indicator that I will be using is the RSI with its default settings.

There are two types of divergence in the forex market; the bullish divergence and the bearish divergence


  1. Traders call it bullish divergence when the price action is bearish or down trending but the technical indicator which is the RSI is showing a bullish move or a consolidating move defying the real movement of price which is supposed to be a bearish move.
     
  2. Traders call it bearish divergence when the price action is bullish or up trending but the RSI is showing a bearish move or a consolidating move defying the real movement of price which is supposed to be a bullish move.

Bearish divergence example in the EURUSD forex pair in the 4 hour time frame


forex bearish divergence
Click the image to zoom in..

Observe that the price is basically showing a sideways direction with a somewhat bullish bias as it created a higher high indicated with the number 2.

But look at the RSI indicator below.

What have you noticed? 

The RSI indicator was showing a different data, it is clearly showing us a down 
trending graph as indicated with the red arrow going down.

This is how a bearish divergence looks like! Two graphs ( price graph and RSI graph ) showing different facts that are supposed to be the same.

The question now is this..

How to trade this divergence forex set up?


We could confirm that this is a divergence when both graph showing contradicting movements.
All we have to do after that is to wait for a candle stick set up for an entry. We need to wait for a candle stick set up so that we can plan our entry and stop loss point.

Seeing that bearish pin bar formed as indicated with number 3, we can now put on our entry point and stop loss.

Our entry point would be right after the pin bar formed or perhaps you could wait for a little bit of pullback.

Our stop loss placement would then be above that bearish pin bar.

Our logical placement of the profit target would be right at the previous resistance as shown with the black horizontal line.

The final set up of the trade would look like this

forex bearish divergence set up
Click the image to zoom in


I don’t know if there are forex divergence scanner out there but what happened with the market after just shows us how powerful and profitable bearish divergence set up could be if traded correctly. In this particular trade it could have been an easy 1:4 risk to reward ratio winning trade.

 Bullish divergence example in the EURGBP forex pair in the 4 hour time frame


 In this pair we could see that the price chart is showing us a down trending price. But when we look at the RSI graph below it, we could clearly see that the graph is showing an uptrend movement as indicated with an upward pointing arrow.
forex bullish divergence
Click the image to zoom in

With these we could confirm that this forex pair at this particular time is bullish divergence.
Since this is confirmed already, we can now use our divergence forex system strategy set up.

We wait for a candle stick formation that signals a start of a bullish move.

Observe that a bullish pinbar formed followed by a bullish engulfing candle as indicated with the magenta rectangle.

Our entry point would then be right after that bullish engulfing candle and we put our stop loss below the pin bar.

The logical placement of the profit target would be below the resistance as indicated with the horizontal black line.

The final forex divergence trade set up would look like this

forex bullish divergence set up
Click the image to zoom in

This trade here could easily give us a 1:4 risk to reward ratio.

Forex divergence trade set up combined with a reliable candle stick formation will not only  give us a great edge in the market but also big profits.

Patiently scan your chart for these kinds of patterns and you will be rewarded.

The big question is that are you willing to wait for this kind of patterns to occur in the market?
See you in the last and final part of this article series!

Tuesday, February 12, 2019

Technical Analysis For Beginners Part 4: Trading The Ever Famous Head and Shoulder Pattern

Price action formations in the FOREX market seems very random to starting traders. I remember when I first look at a chart 2 years ago I could not mentally form any formation at all.

All seems to be just random ups and downs of the flow of the market. Never did I realize that the ebb and flow of the market is all driven by people’s psychology.

Later on as I put more time in studying and observing how the market moves, I came to conclude that there are certain patterns formed repeatedly.

In this part 4 of these article series, I want to talk about the ever famous head and shoulder pattern formations.


It’s undeniable that there are many patterns out there but this pattern formation is the most or if not one of the most pattern formation traders looked for in the market.

Why do traders look for this head and shoulder patterns?


  • First of all it’s easy to recognize because of its obvious formation.
  • Second reason is that this set up has a huge probability of forming which means it has high win rate.
  • The final reason is that depending on how the pattern forms it usually gives good risk to reward ratio.

Take a look at our example below.

head and shoulder pattern in 4 hr time frame
Click the image to zoom in

This head and shoulder pattern formed in the EURNZD 4 hour time frame. 

As you can see, this pattern formation is quite obvious. Derived from its name itself it is composed of two shoulders and one head..


head and shoulder trade set up
Click the image to zoom in
On trading this kind of pattern, its is best traded right at the formation of the right shoulder. As you can see in the example above. There is a bearish pin bar set up formed in the right shoulder. 

Entry point would be right after this pin bar formed. 

The stop loss should be placed above the pin bar.

The most logical place for the profit target would be the bottom of the left shoulder which is a known support indicated with a red horizontal line.

This trade set up using the head and shoulder pattern alone could have generated a good 1:6 risk to reward ratio.

The inverted head and shoulder pattern


The inverted head and shoulder pattern is pretty much the same with the usual head and shoulder pattern. It just that this formed in reversed form but mind you  the concept is still the same.

inverted head and shoulder pattern
Click the image to zoom in
This inverted head and shoulder pattern was formed in the NZDUSD pair 4 hour time frame.

In the eyes of those novice traders this might look hard to recognize as a pattern. But the more you put time on studying charts there will come a time when you will be able to recognize this patterns almost instantly.

Since this is an inverted one we should be looking for a set up here to go long. In my own style of trading, the set up would go like this.

inverted head and shoulder trade set up
Click the image to zoom in

As I have talk about in my previous article about Japanese candle stick formation where the topic is about engulfing candles and its psychology. This bullish engulfing candle here could be our signal that the price would be bullish and will form the inverted pattern.

Our entry would be right after the bullish engulfing candle formation.

Our stop loss must be placed below the candle that had been engulfed.

Our profit target again should be based on the pattern itself. In this inverted one it should be placed at the top of the leg of the left shoulder which is a known resistance indicated with a green horizontal line.

In this particular trade set up, we could have had easily generated a 1:4 risk to reward ratio winning trade.

In summary of this article.

Head and shoulder pattern is literary composed of a HEAD and a SHOULDER which makes it easy to recognize.

If its a usual head and shoulder pattern, look to trade short right at the formation of the RIGHT SHOULDER.

If its an inverted head and shoulder pattern look to trade long at the RIGHT SHOULDER. 

A pin bar or an engulfing candle formation at the right shoulder usually is the signal for an entry.

Stop loss should be placed above or below the set up candle.

And lastly, the best placement of the profit target is in the parallel side of the leg of the left shoulder.


See you in part 5!


Monday, February 11, 2019

Technical Analysis for Beginners Part 3: Psychology Behind Japanese Candle Stick Formations

I can’t remember fully the story about the origin of Japanese candle sticks, can’t even remember if I read it from a book or from a blog of some famous trader. But the summary of the story goes like this.

 There’s this Japanese guy who become so good at trading commodities because he records the highest point, the lowest point, opening and closing price of the commodities that he is trading.  Later on he learned that he could make a drawing out of it which is now the candle stick. He’s so good with trading because he understood the psychology of the market by the use of the candle stick formations.

 In this part 3 of technical analysis for beginners our aim is to know how to read the candle stick formations. We will be using the DAILY TIME FRAME in our examples because I believe that the daily candles are more accurate in portraying the psychology of traders.

 

 Let’s begin with the parts of the Japanese candle sticks


A candle is composed of a body that’s for sure and sometimes with an upper tail and/or lower tail.

  1.     The upper tail indicates the highest value the price went in that particular day.
  2.     The lower tail indicates the lowest value the price went in that particular day.
  3.     The open is the opening price of the day and
  4.     The close is the closing price of the day.   

See the image below for reference.


japanese candle stick
Credits to Wikipedia for this image

It’s parts are pretty basic and self-explanatory that’s why we move on and see some examples of its formations and understand the message that it brings.

 --------------------------------

bullish candle
 Click the image to zoom in


That candle enclosed with green rectangle is our first candle to be explained.  To tell you the truth I don’t know what this candle specifically called but the important things is knowing the meaning behind it.


Noticed that the lower tail of the candle is longer than the body itself. This candle brings the message that the price has a big probability of going up which it did. Having this long tail simply shows that there are more buyers in the market.


bearish candle
 Click the image to zoom in

The candle above enclosed with rectangle has the same meaning with the first candle that I have explained. It’s just that this candle signifies that the price would probably go down.

 --------------------------------


 Now let’s talk about pin bars. 


This candle stick pattern is actually just similar to that of the first two candles that I’ve shown but has a much smaller body.

There are so many traders out there who complicate their lives and made some other names for it like, hammer, shooting star, sword and etc. To avoid confusion of names if a candle looks like this as shown below let’s call it a pin bar.

bullish pin bar candle
Click the image to zoom in

This two candles enclosed in a rectangle is called a pin bar. Its body is relatively small and its tail is very long.  Long tail formed because price initially moved in that direction but was rejected. If we see a long tailed pin bar like this then that only indicates that there's a big chance that the price would go up.

Another example below.

bearish pin bar candle
Click the image to zoom in

 As you can see, its very clear what these bearish pin bar's message is. It shows that in that particular days the sellers dominated the market and created a strong sell down.

This candle stick formation will serve as a catalyst for price direction in short term or long term.



--------------------------------

Doji, the candle in the middle


doji candle
Click the image to zoom in
Basically the doji candle is a plus sign. It has an equilibrium formation of buyers and sellers. If this candle stick form, it usually means that the current trend is ending and a new trend is approaching.

Doji is a trend reversal candle.

Its that time in the market when the dominating movement of the market just halted and exhausted.

As you can see in the example above, it just shows that the trend had just arrived at its peak and instantly reversed.

doji candle reversal
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Another example above of a Doji candle formation which acted as a catalyst for price reversal.

We are done with the single candle formations, now lets go to the combination of these candles and lets try to understand its psychology behind.

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Inside Bar Japanese Candle Stick Formations



inside bar candle
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The above image is an example of what an inside bar candle looks like.

An inside bar is basically a candle which is formed inside the previous candle. Inside bar formations indicates indecisiveness also in the market.

The big candle is what they called the mother candle and the small one is its child.

Something to note here. In the above image you can only see 1 child/inside candle but there are times that inside bar candles can be as much as 3 candles. The more the candle inside, the more the strong the momentum when its price broke the mother candle.

How do we trade the inside bar set up?


Trading the inside bar candle is quite tricky.

Usually traders trade this set up when the prices broke out the mother candle but sometimes this is where the fake movement happens.

As you can see in the image above a bearish pin bar was formed. Intraday, the price broke to the upside and looks bullish, many traders thought it was going up but it was a trap. Eventually the price came back inside the mother candle and formed this bearish pin bar set up.

To me this is the best time to trade inside bar candles. The market made a false move and after that it shows its real intention. Lets take a look at another example below.

inside bar fakey set up
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Noticed here that there are 2 child candles inside the mother candle formed before the appearance of the false breakout. This to me indicates a strong momentum to whichever side it decides to go.

The false breakout formed and buyers saw this set up and made the price very bullish.

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If we have inside bars we also have outside bars which is commonly called ENGULFING CANDLES.

Engulfing Japanese Candle Stick Formations

 

bearish engulfing candle
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Engulfing candles are candles who engulfs/eat the previous day candle. This indicates rejection of price and when you combine these two candles it will somewhat form into a pin bar.

I find engulfing candles a very good set up in taking trades because it shows clearly the sudden shift of momentum between buyers and sellers.

How do we use the engulfing candles as a set up for a trade?


The best time to trade engulfing candles is when it formed at least twice in a known support or resistance area. Just like what happened in the image above. The bearish engulfing candles formed right at a resistance twice. After the formation of the second bearish engulfing candle, the price just burst to the downside.

The above chart of AUDCHF forex pair shows 2 engulfing candles. Lets try to see where should we entered the trade and its risk to reward ratio.

engulfing candle trade set up
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We could have entered right away a short trade after the second engulfing candle formed. The stop loss placement should be above it with a 3 to 5 pips allowance for the spread.

Looking at the price action we can automatically conclude where our profit target should be located. It should be in the previous support of 0.74180 as indicated with the horizontal blue line.

What happened after we took our entry? The market just did its thing and moved towards the direction of our profit target. After 8 days of waiting our profit target was finally triggered and bagged 1:4 risk to reward ratio.

Understanding Japanese candle stick formation is really essential in creating a trading strategy. In my own opinion the more you combine this candle stick formation with each other the higher the chance of it going your desired direction.

Take time in studying charts and you will see this set ups forming over and over again. The part 4 of this article series will be about head and shoulder pattern. Stay tuned..

Ciao and till next time again!